Acta Univ. Agric. Silvic. Mendelianae Brun. 2004, 52, 17-34
Published online 2015-06-17

Analysis of the development and prediction of the population movement indicators in the Czech Republic

Milan Palát1, Erich Maca2

1Ústav statistiky a operačního výzkumu, Mendelova zemědělská a lesnická univerzita v Brně, Zemědělská 5, 613 00 Brno, Česká republika
2Kotlářská 44, 602 00 Brno, Česká republika

The paper is aimed at the presentation of findings obtained in the study of the development of time series of the population movement in the defined territorial unit and time interval 1993 – 2001. In addition to the exact evaluation of the dynamics and trend, the analysis of selected indicators is also aimed at a short-term extrapolation prediction. Developmental trends are specified of the population composition according to main age groups, live births according to legitimacy and the order of birth, deaths according to the cause of death, the first marriage according to a bridegroom and bride age, selected indicators of the marriage rate and divorce rate, divorce rate according to the number of underage children and foreign migration according to countries.


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